Glyphius Predicts Winners 70.1% of the Time?

by Ryan M. Healy · 4 comments

in Split-Testing, Tools

I woke up this morning to a pleasant surprise. My email inbox was filled with PayPal receipts.

I sat there scratching my head for a moment… “Did I run a promotion I forgot about?” Well, the answer was “yes,” kind of.

I did run a Glyphius promotion a few months back and sold half the copies I had. But I hadn’t promoted it much recently.

That’s when I knew that somebody must have linked to the blog post where I had originally announced the promotion. It turns out, it was my friend Eric Graham, a.k.a. “The Conversion Doctor.”

Here is what Eric discovered based on 181 split-tests he conducted in 2007: “Glyphius actually ‘predicted’ the winner 70.1% of the time.”

This is no fluke.

Eric is not one to leap to conclusions without enough evidence on which to base them. When you go to his blog, you’ll notice the screenshot from his Google Website Optimizer account shows the winning headline in one test with a 99% confidence rating.

In most of my headline tests, I’ve found Glyphius to be fairly accurate in predicting the winning headline. But I’ve done nowhere near as many split-tests as Eric has done. Which is why I greatly appreciate his willingness to share the results of his study.

I highly recommend you read Eric’s Glyphius study here. (And don’t forget to register for the “Headline Testing Secrets” webinar he’ll be conducting on Monday night, February 4, 2008.)

-Ryan M. Healy

P.S. I have no more copies of Glyphius or Muvar available. I am completely sold out (not counting one copy of each program I’m keeping for myself).

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{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Chas February 3, 2008 at 12:15 pm

But you DO still have the adwords campain running. JFYI

2 Eric Graham February 4, 2008 at 7:28 am

Ryan,

Glad I could cause ya’ a few “pleasant problems”!

Don’t you just love those “Where the heck did all this money come from” surprises?

Take care buddy!

Eric

PS – How is the baby doing?

3 Ryan M. Healy February 4, 2008 at 8:03 am

Thanks for the heads-up, Chas. I turned it off yesterday right after I saw your comment.

4 Ryan M. Healy February 5, 2008 at 9:54 am

Hey Eric – Sorry your comment didn’t show up earlier. I just found it in the Akismet queue for some reason.

Yes, it is a pleasant problem to have. Thank you!

Patrick is doing great. He’s three months old this week, which is pretty crazy.

Hope your webinar went well. :-)

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